GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 42.4-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 23 · avg 0.60/4.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Cariari PocociDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Turrialba FcCariari Pococi
28.1Attack16.7
10.4Defence100.0
18.8Form66.7
22.4Power64.8
0.72xG2.28
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