GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aserri FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLWDDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCDLWWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Turrialba FcAserri FC
28.1Attack0.0
10.4Defence66.7
18.8Form0.0
22.4Power26.7
0.84xG2.01
View match centre →