GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/1/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcAserri FC
28.1Attack0.0
10.4Defence66.7
18.8Form0.0
22.4Power26.7
0.84xG2.01
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