GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/8/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcWLLDL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcAserri FC
28.1Attack0.0
10.4Defence66.7
18.8Form0.0
22.4Power26.7
0.84xG2.01
View match centre →