GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Antioquia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

66.2%

Model confidence

66.2%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AntioquiaLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcAntioquia
28.1Attack55.2
10.4Defence36.5
18.8Form40.6
22.4Power44.1
1.09xG2.63
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