GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/2/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

74.1%

Model confidence

74.1%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Turrialba FcAD Sarchí
28.1Attack66.7
10.4Defence66.7
18.8Form100.0
22.4Power80.3
0.75xG2.65
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