GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 8/22/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turku PSLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Turku PSSJK Akatemia
49.4Attack15.8
64.2Defence56.1
53.1Form21.1
56.3Power34.1
1.50xG0.50
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