GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 6/13/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Turku PS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turku PSWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Turku PSSJK Akatemia
49.4Attack15.8
64.2Defence56.1
53.1Form21.1
56.3Power34.1
1.50xG0.50
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