Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Turku PS 1-0 SJK, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Turku PS 0-0 SJK
Original prediction
Turku PS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.4% | 51.1% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.0% | 25.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.5% | 23.1% | -14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Projected Score
Turku PS 1–0 SJK
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Turku PSDDWDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SJKDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Turku PSSJK
42.4Attack37.9
65.2Defence50.0
47.0Form28.8
52.9Power40.4
1.42xG0.70