Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SJK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00