Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60