Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40