Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
12.4%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20