Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00