Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PK-35 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00