Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Turku PS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while MP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20