Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Turku PS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60