Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00