Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kooteepee are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40