Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Turku PS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40