Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Ykkönen, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20