Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Turku PS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40