Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Turku PS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80