Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Turku PS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.3 against 57.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60