Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ilves are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
13.1%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40