Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Turku PS 0-3 Ilves
Original prediction
Turku PS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.4% | 43.7% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.3% | 25.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.2% | 30.4% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Turku PSLDDDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IlvesWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Turku PSIlves
38.9Attack54.2
66.7Defence47.2
44.4Form43.1
51.5Power48.7
1.33xG0.98