Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.5 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00