Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Turku PS 1-0 FF Jaro, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Turku PS 0-1 FF Jaro
Original prediction
Turku PS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.3% | 46.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.7% | 28.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.9% | 25.4% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Turku PS 1–0 FF Jaro
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Turku PSLLDDD
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FF JaroDDLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Turku PSFF Jaro
37.3Attack26.7
64.0Defence36.0
42.7Form22.7
49.5Power31.1
1.62xG0.50