Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40