Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.5 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00