Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while EIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00