Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00