Turks and Caicos Islandsvs
Montserrat
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montserrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Turks and Caicos Islands 0-2 Montserrat
Original prediction
Montserrat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.49 | 6.8% | 30.4% | 23.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.83 | 13.5% | 24.8% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.8% | 44.8% | -35.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Montserrat
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Montserrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00