Turkey Wvs
Slovenia W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turkey W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Turkey W 3-3 Slovenia W
Original prediction
Turkey W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.6% | 48.4% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.4% | 25.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.9% | 26.3% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Turkey W
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Turkey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20