Turkey U21vs
Hungary U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turkey U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Turkey U21 0-0 Hungary U21
Original prediction
Turkey U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.9% | 56.9% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.1% | 22.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 6.49 | 14.0% | 20.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Turkey U21
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Turkey U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80