Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Turan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Səbail are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turan hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Premyer Liqa, while Turan holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turan
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Turan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60