Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
14%
MediumconfidenceTuran are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Keshla FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and turan hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Premyer Liqa, favouring Turan with 14.4% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turan
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
14.4%
Turan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TuranLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Keshla FCLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TuranKeshla FC
49.1Attack30.5
50.9Defence57.1
44.4Form34.3
49.2Power43.0
1.38xG0.80