Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Turan are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Buxoro are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67