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Turan Turkistan logoTuran TurkistanvsYelimay Semey logoYelimay Semey

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Kazakhstan · Cup · 4/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Turan Turkistan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Cup, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

14.1%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turan TurkistanLLLLD

GF 11 · GA 19 · avg 2.20/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Yelimay SemeyWWDDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Turan TurkistanYelimay Semey
0.0Attack50.0
55.6Defence75.0
11.1Form50.0
25.8Power57.7
0.95xG1.37
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