Turan Turkistanvs
Shakhter Karagandy
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan Turkistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Turan Turkistan 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy
Original prediction
Turan Turkistan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.0% | 42.3% | -28.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.7% | 24.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 7.95 | 11.3% | 33.7% | 22.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Turan Turkistan
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Turan Turkistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20