Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Castelo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
58%
HighconfidenceTupy have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Castelo have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Castelo hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 58.3), with expected goals of 1.19 against 2.28. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Capixaba B, while Castelo holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Castelo
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Castelo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TupyNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CasteloNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
TupyCastelo
38.9Attack73.3
44.4Defence56.7
38.9Form50.0
42.0Power58.3
1.19xG2.28