Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupy FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tupy FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Trindade are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupy FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Goiano - 2, while Tupy FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupy FC
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
17.6%
Tupy FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20