Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tupy FC 0-0 Morrinhos, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tupy FC 2-1 Morrinhos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Tupy FC 0–0 Morrinhos
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tupy FCDWLWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MorrinhosDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tupy FCMorrinhos
30.0Attack53.3
73.3Defence53.3
43.3Form50.0
51.3Power54.2
0.89xG0.79