Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tupy FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Goiânia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiânia hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.6% in the Goiano - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
25.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80