Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
TuPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 61.9-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Suomen Cup, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
7.9%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60