GGOALVIO

World · OFC Champions League · 2/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vaivase-Tai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Tupapa Maraerenga are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Vaivase-Tai are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaivase-Tai hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the OFC Champions League, while Vaivase-Tai holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vaivase-Tai

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

6.9%

Vaivase-Tai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tupapa MaraerengaWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Vaivase-TaiDLLLW

GF 16 · GA 20 · avg 3.20/4.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tupapa MaraerengaVaivase-Tai
61.1Attack77.8
11.1Defence44.4
38.9Form55.6
37.1Power60.9
2.07xG2.87
View match centre →