GGOALVIO

World · OFC Champions League · 2/21/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tupapa Maraerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Tupapa Maraerenga are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Ilaoa & To'omata are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 13.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupapa Maraerenga hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 5.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the OFC Champions League, while Tupapa Maraerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tupapa Maraerenga

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Tupapa Maraerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tupapa MaraerengaW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ilaoa & To'omataL

GF 0 · GA 13 · avg 0.00/13.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Tupapa MaraerengaIlaoa & To'omata
61.1Attack0.0
11.1Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
37.1Power5.0
2.77xG2.02
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