Tupavs
Santa Fé FC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tupa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Fé FC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupa hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Tupa holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupa
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
12.6%
Tupa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80