Tupavs
Riopretano
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tupa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Riopretano are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupa hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Tupa holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupa
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
14.1%
Tupa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33