TupavsIndependente SP

Tupa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.